How is this graph even possible? For more than one year the global death toll for Sars-Cov-2 has oscillated between ~5,000 deaths a day to ~20,000 deaths a day creating a pattern that is almost ECG like in its uniformity. Answers on a postcard please, because we do not see anything natural about this graph.
The Covid-19 pandemic has caused mass trauma on a larger scale than World War II, and the impact will last “for many years to come,” the World Health Organization’s top official said Friday.
“After the Second World War, the world has experienced mass trauma, because Second World War affected many, many lives. And now, even with this Covid pandemic, with bigger magnitude, more lives have been affected,” WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said at a news conference Friday. “Almost the whole world is affected, each and every individual on the surface of the world actually has been affected.”
“And that means mass trauma, which is beyond proportion, even bigger than what the world experienced after the Second World War,” he added, noting the effect on mental health. “And when there is mass trauma, it affects communities for many years to come.”
The global case fatality rate, which fell consistently from May 1st 2020 until January 18th 2021, is now rising steadily and currently stands at 2.21%
The global Covid-19 case rate (those who have tested positive for sars-cov-2 by testing) has fallen recently, but the case fatality rate (those who have died of Covid-19 following a confirmed test) has not fallen in step with the case reduction.
The most obvious conclusion is that the Covid-19 fatality rate is just lagging the case rate by some weeks. Alternatively, the recent bad weather across much of Europe may have affected testing capacity.
There are other possible explanations though:
- More aggressive Sars-cov-2 variants are leading to an increase in the mortality rate without a corresponding increase in case rates – see here
- Sars-cov-2 variants may be evading testing?
John Hopkins University figures for 24th January 2021:
Coronavirus has now reached the last continent on Earth with the first cases identified in Antarctica.
The Chilean army announced that 36 people linked with the General Bernardo O’Higgins Riquelme base on the planet’s southern pole had tested positive for COVID-19.\