“Given a growing number of COVID-19 cases on the Island, particularly amongst children, all of the Island’s schools, nurseries and childminders will be closed tomorrow (Friday 5 March).
This difficult decision has been taken to create a firebreak to help stop the spread of the virus, particularly amongst the Island’s young people. The situation will be reviewed over the weekend as the situation becomes clearer.
The Chief Minister, Howard Quayle MHK, said: “As we know, the Kent variant of COVID-19 is particularly virulent and we are seeing it spreading rapidly amongst our community. The virus spreads when people mix and so we need to do all we can to minimise that mixing. We are currently seeing a strong level of transmission between our young people and we need to take every opportunity we have to interrupt this.
“Whilst much of the opportunity for transmission has been minimised through the circuit break, there are still a number of settings where children are moving around outside of the home. In the interests of children and broader society, we need to prevent children from mixing.“
The spread of infection is rampant at the Prolympia School in Umeå. 24 students and 3 teachers have so far been found infected.
It has broken loose in a completely different way than it has done before, says the school’s principal Rasmus Wengberg.
It is suspected that it is the British mutation of the virus that has affected the school, because so many have fallen ill, despite precautionary measures.
The school had to close last Friday, just under a week after it opened. The boy’s classmates and teachers and their families are affected by the quarantine. Two kindergarten groups also had to be isolated as a precaution because a sibling of the student was being looked after there. Where the boy was infected is unclear, said a community spokeswoman.
Because the boy’s teacher also tested positive , their contacts and their families also had to be in quarantine. However, it is still unclear whether the infection is a virus mutation.
Schools towards closure in the red areas and in the territories where there are high thresholds of contagion, regardless of the colors. ..the decree could be signed soon by Prime Minister Mario Draghi, even on Monday.
The new provisions are moving towards a step backwards on face-to-face lessons in various territories, as already feared by the Higher Institute of Health and invoked by various governors, some of whom have already done so with regional ordinances. According to CTS sources, “an evident impact of new infections in schools is , but differentiated. For this reason, a modulation of the measures according to the areas, variable according to Municipalities or Provinces and not only on a regional basis, would be desirable”.
“In order to limit the spread of the epidemic in our country, I think that it is important to stop teaching as soon as possible in all schools, regardless of age, and in universities. Analysis indicates that “the curve of intensive care at national level in Italy has been increasing for about two weeks” and that “the situation at the regional level is heterogeneous both in terms of quality and quantity”, observes Sebastiani.
There is a direct link between the increase in admissions for Covid-19 in intensive care units and the reopening of schools: “the analysis of the curves of the number of hospitalized in intensive care units in Italy indicates that the return to Teaching in presence after the Christmas holidays is conveying the current increase in the spread of the SarsCov2 epidemic in Italy “, notes the mathematician Giovanni Sebastiani , of the Institute for Calculation Applications ‘Mauro Picone’ of the National Research Council ( Cnr-Iac).
C’è un legame diretto fra l’aumento dei ricoveri per Covid-19 nelle unità di terapia intensiva e la riapertura delle scuole: “l’analisi delle curve del numero dei ricoverati nei reparti di terapia intensiva in Italia indica che il ritorno all’attività didattica in presenza dopo le vacanze di Natale sta veicolando l’attuale aumento della diffusione dell’epidemia di SarsCov2 in Italia”, rileva il matematico Giovanni Sebastiani, dell’Istituto per le Applicazioni del Calcolo ‘Mauro Picone’ del Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (Cnr-Iac). “Allo scopo di limitare la diffusione dell’epidemia nel nostro Paese, penso – rileva il matematico – che sia importante interrompere quanto prima l’attività didattica in presenza in tutte le scuole, indipendentemente dalla fascia d’età, e nelle università. L’analisi indica che “la curva delle terapie intensive a livello nazionale in Italia è in aumento da circa due settimane” e che “la situazione a livello regionale è eterogenea sia a livello qualitativo che quantitativo”, osserva Sebastiani.
The former head of Ofsted has said that teachers need to show a “similar commitment” to medical professionals, who in some cases have “sacrificed their lives.”
Sir Michael Wilshaw, the former chief inspector of schools, said there has to be a “pulling together’ among teachers and that they have to exhibit the same level of devotion as medics who have “gone the extra” mile during the pandemic, in order to get children caught up with their studies when schools return early next month.
Since the return to to- face- face teaching in Austria’s schools on February 8, around 1,500 positive coronavirus cases have been discovered after the corona tests.
In the third week alone, there were 904 positive tests – 619 for students and 285 for teachers and administrative staff, said a spokesman for the Ministry of Education. A total of 1.4 million tests have been made in schools since Monday.
In some provinces of Lombardy, the ‘strengthened’ orange zone has been triggered to stem the spread of the coronavirus and curb the contagion linked to the covid variants. An order by Governor Attilio Fontana will establish special rules and measures for the province of Brescia and a series of municipalities: Viadanica, Predore San Martino, Sarnico, Villongo, Castelli Calepio, Credaro and Gandosso, in the province of Bergamo, and Soncino in the province of Cremona.
The rules of the orange zone strengthened
The enhanced orange zone, explains Vice President Letizia Moratti, “provides, in addition to the normal measures of the orange zone, also the closure of elementary schools, kindergartens and crèches, the prohibition of going to second homes, the mandatory use of smart working and the closure of university activities in presence “.
SSI: “The expert group has all the way counted on a so-called scenario 0, where you do not open further. And where teachers are tested twice a week with an antigen test.
“Even without reopening, the development of virus variant B.1.1.7 and the opening of 0.-4. class lead to slightly increasing infection rates and new admissions in mid-April, ”says doctor Camilla Holten Møller from the expert group.
If, in addition, all graduation classes are opened, according to the group’s calculations, this will lead to a marked increase in the number of infections and the number of new admissions in mid-April.
The report also includes scenarios for 50% attendance in the graduating classes in primary and lower secondary schools and in the upper secondary and adult educations, as well as an infection-reducing effect by repeated antigen tests of 25% and 50%, respectively.”
● La proportion de tests positifs criblés variait peu selon la classe d’âge : de 42,1% chez les 20-29 ans à 47,7% chez les 0-9 ans (Tableau 1).
● La plus forte proportion de suspicions de variant 20I/501Y.V1 (UK) était observée chez les 0-9 ans (44,6%) puis chez les 30-39 ans (40,8%). Cette proportion diminuait ensuite avec l’âge pour atteindre 20,3% chez les 90 ans et plus.
● (The highest proportion of suspected 20I/501Y.V1 (UK) variant was observed among 0-9 year olds (44.6%) then among 30-39 year olds (40.8%). This proportion then decreased with age to reach 20.3% among 90 years and over.)
● La proportion de suspicions de variant 20H/501Y.V2 (ZA) ou 20J/501Y.V3 (BR) était plus élevée chez les 20-29 ans (6,2%) et les 60-69 ans (5,7%). Cette proportion était plus faible chez les personnes âgées de 70 ans et plus (entre 3,3% et 3,5%).
Tableau 1. Proportion de suspicion de variant d’intérêt parmi les tests de criblage positives 20I/501Y.V1 (UK), 20H/501Y.V2 (ZA) ou 20J/501Y.V3 (BR) en fonction des classes d’âges (données au 17 février 2021)
Four scenarios have been modelled that differ in the speed of easing restrictions from current levels to minimal measures. All four scenarios modelled lead to a substantial resurgence in hospital admissions and deaths.
The scale and timing of these resurgences are critically dependent on very uncertain modelled assumptions, including real world vaccine effectiveness against severe disease and infection; vaccine coverage and rollout speed; behavioural factors; and the extent to which baseline measures (which could be voluntary) continue to reduce transmission once restrictions are lifted. Given this uncertainty, it would be inadvisable to tie changes in policy to dates instead of data.
SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling on scenarios for easing restrictions
Date: 7th February 2021
Japan: “Domestic diffusion of strains carrying the Spike protein E484K mutation (Pangolin B.1.1.316)
E484K COVID-19 genome surveillance * 3. mutation to the same Spike protein as the mutant strains (N501Y.V2 and N501Y.V3) reported in South Africa and Brazil from the beginning of December 2020 onwards in the national survey of B.1.1.316 strain (2 cases of airport quarantine, 91 cases throughout Kanto area) was detected (as of 02/02/2021).
The B.1.1.316 strain does not have the N501Y mutation, which is a mutation that may increase infectivity and transmission, and it is presumed that the phenotype is different from that of the mutant strain having the N501Y mutation. According to genome network diagram the evaluation of the , this B.1.1.316 is not at least the genealogy of the current two mainstream strains in Japan, but a 13-base mutation (approximately 7) from the European strain (B.1.1.114) from March to April 2020. There was a time difference of months).
The sample that fills the blank link of this 13-base mutation in the domestic sample has not been specified, and it was judged that the genealogy did not acquire the mutation in Japan. In addition, a search for all GISAID registered genomic information has not identified the country of origin indicating the origin of this influx B.1.1.316 strain (that is, the region such as the United Kingdom cannot be determined). On the other hand, no strains that have acquired the E484K mutation from two mainstream strains in Japan (B.1.1.284 and B.1.1.214) have been detected so far.