Germany could register up to 400,000 infections of Covid 19 a day if measures are not established that lead to a clear reduction of contacts, according to a new study.
The study, in which the epidemiologist André Karch, from the University of Münster, and the computer scientist Bernhard Renard from the University of Potsdam participated, points out that even if the current vaccination rate were doubled, it would not be able to break that dynamic.
A doubling of the vaccination rate would only achieve that infections would reach 300,000 a day and even tripling the rate would reach 200,000 a day, which would be enough to saturate the health system.
To break the fourth wave, in addition to an acceleration of vaccination, it would be necessary to cut contacts in half. To make it, it is necessary to prevent large agglomerations and the reduction of contacts with people who are potentially infected through a clear strategy of population testing.
Germany has seen unprecedented growth in Covid-19 in November 2021