India seeing a rise in Covid deaths without a corresponding rise in cases

Asia, B.1.617.2, Coronavirus, Deaths, Delta, India, Infection, Singapore, Transmission

India has seen an unusual increase in Covid deaths over the last week without a corresponding rise in Covid cases. The sudden surge in deaths started on the 21st October 2021, a date that we have already mentioned as a possible inflexion point for Covid waves in both 2020 and 2021.

Seeing a rise in the Covid death rate without a prior uptick in cases is a highly unusual turn of events. Indian newspapers don’t appear to have picked up on it yet.

Singapore has also reported an unusual increase in deaths and cases today, so we are publishing their Covid case and death charts for comparison.


Indian deaths from Covid-19 have started to rise despite a stable Covid infection rate:


Covid case rates in India have been stable for months following its large wave earlier in the year:



Singapore has also seen a large rise in Covid deaths over the past month. but they are firmly linked to a rise in cases:


UPDATE: 29th October 2021: From our reader John: “80 to 90% of the deaths are in the state of Kerala. None that I see today are in Uttar Pradesh.”


UPDATE: 29th October 2021: “India records 585 Covid-19 deaths in 24 hours, 482 of them from Kerala”

The situation in Kerala has been of concern for the central government in the last few months. Majority of the worst-affected districts across the country are in Kerala, according to central government figures.

Though the daily count of infection has come down in the southern state, it is still recording more than half of the entire country’s Covid-19 caseload every day. report



Published 11th October 2021:

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Image by RENE RAUSCHENBERGER from Pixabay

** This post was originally published on October 28, 2021 **