UK: it’s an epidemic of the partially vaccinated

Astrazeneca, Coronavirus, England, Infection, London, Moderna, Northern Ireland, Pfizer/Biontech, Revaccination, Scotland, UK, Vaccine, Vaccine Breakthrough, Vaccine Waning, Wales

The latest UK ZOE Covid app data from 12th August 2021 shows that you are now more likely to catch Covid-19 if you are partially vaccinated than if you are unvaccinated.


Partially vaccinated cases are 6,733, or about 120 cases per 100,000 people
Unvaccinated cases are 22,671, or about 87 cases per 100,000 people
Fully vaccinated cases are 12,662, or about 35 cases per 100,000 people

A rough estimate would suggest that, by late September, the number of new Covid-19 cases in partially vaccinated and fully vaccinated people will outnumber those in unvaccinated people. This is despite the UK vaccination figures only increasing modestly for weeks.

If you combine the case numbers for the vaccinated and the partially vaccinated, the vaccine breakthrough rate has now risen to 45% in one month, despite the change in methodology.


Below: the previous ZOE chart published by us on the 17th July 2021 after the “methodology was changed


The latest ZOE report is available here


** This post was originally published on August 17, 2021 **