China’s flagship zero-Covid strategy to defeat the pandemic is unsustainable, the World Health Organization said Tuesday, adding that it had told Beijing so and called for a policy shift.
“When we talk about the zero-Covid strategy, we don’t think that it’s sustainable, considering the behaviour of the virus now and what we anticipate in the future,” WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told a press conference.
** Because 15 million Covid-19 deaths in two years IS sustainable? **
Modelling study indicates that were China to relax its covid policy now with current levels of vaccination, it would see 1.55 million deaths and ICU demand of 15.6 times capacity.https://t.co/JDOtbXwI6R
— Aris Katzourakis (@ArisKatzourakis) May 10, 2022
“We find that the level of immunity induced by the March 2022 vaccination campaign would be insufficient to prevent an Omicron wave that would result in exceeding critical care capacity with a projected intensive care unit peak demand of 15.6-times the existing capacity and causing approximately 1.55 million deaths.”
Nature article: Modeling transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron in China
UPDATE 1 – 11th May 2022: China hits back…
Prediction made on 23rd February 2022 in the post below – “There’s likely a VERY LARGE WAVE BREWING IN ASIA”
