South Africa: Tshwane District Omicron Patient Profile

There has been a significant rise in new SARS-CoV-2 infections in the Gauteng Province in the last four weeks which has been attributed to the new Omicron variant announced on 24 November 2021. The first cases of Omicron were detected in the Tshwane District and coincided with the sharp rise in new infections, heralding the onset of the fourth wave in Gauteng.

Tshwane has been the global epicentre of the Omicron Outbreak and the Gauteng Province Fourth Wave with the weekly number of cases rising exponentially over several weeks, reaching just over 8569 cases in Epi Week 47 (21 November -November 27 and 41 921 by 3 December before the end of Epi Week 48 (28 November to 4 December). The exponential rise in cases has continued with 9929 new cases reported in Tshwane in the last 5 days from 29 November to 3 December 2021 (Figure 1).

We report on the early experience of the patient profile at the Steve Biko/Tshwane District Hospital Complex in Pretoria, in the heart of the Tshwane District.

Full report at Samrc.ac.za

 

 

 

Image by Jean van der Meulen from Pixabay

Sweden: 43% of patients in ICU are fully vaccinated, and the figure is rising

In September 2021, 23% of those cared for in Swedish IVA (ICU) were fully vaccinated. In October, the share increased to 31%. So far in November, 43% are fully vaccinated.

If you look at the age group 60 years and up – where vaccine coverage has been largely unchanged in recent months, in August, the proportion of fully vaccinated in intensive care was 20 per cent, in September 42 per cent, in October 61 per cent and in November 76 per cent.

Dagens Nyheter report (in Swedish)

 

Belgium doctor: Our ICU is full of vaccinated patients

 

 

Photo by Mufid Majnun on Unsplash

UK: Fully vaccinated up to 29 times more likely to catch Covid

The latest UKHSA vaccine report is out, and the vaccine breakthrough figures are simply jaw-dropping. They show that, in every age group apart from the under-18s, the fully vaccinated are far more likely to catch Covid-19 than the unvaccinated. In the over-70s age group, you’re over 29 times more likely to catch it.

For 18 – 29yrs, there are nearly 1.5 times as many Covid cases in the fully vaccinated as in the unvaccinated (39,748 v 26,714)

For 30 – 39yrs, there are nearly 3 times as many Covid cases in the fully vaccinated as in the unvaccinated (77,958 v 27,457)

For 40 – 49yrs, there are nearly 8 times as many Covid cases in the fully vaccinated as in the unvaccinated (125,936 v 15,920)

For 50 – 59yrs, there are over 14 times as many Covid cases in the fully vaccinated as in the unvaccinated (102,635 v 7,152)

For 60 – 69yrs, there are over 22 times as many Covid cases in the fully vaccinated as in the unvaccinated (61,109 v 2,739)

For 70 – 79yrs, there are over 29 times as many Covid cases in the fully vaccinated as in the unvaccinated (31,232 v 1,067)

For 80 – 89yrs, there are over 19 times as many Covid cases in the fully vaccinated as in the unvaccinated (10,298 v 540)

 

The UK hospitalization figures show a similar story:

 

As do the figures for Covid-19 deaths:

UKHSA COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report Week 46 

 

The latest UK vaccination figures, however, show that there are only 4 times as many people that are fully vaccinated with two doses as there are unvaccinated:

 

So, even if the vaccines give ZERO protection against infection, there is still something very seriously wrong with these figures. 

 

Vaccinated are more likely to be infected with Covid-19

 

Image by Alexandra_Koch from Pixabay

USA: CDC quietly backs away from herd immunity

The prospects for meeting a clear herd-immunity target are “very complicated,” said Dr. Jefferson Jones, a medical officer on the CDC’s COVID-19 Epidemiology Task Force.

“Thinking that we’ll be able to achieve some kind of threshold where there’ll be no more transmission of infections may not be possible,” Jones acknowledged last week to members of a panel that advises the CDC on vaccines.

Herd immunity was never as simple as many Americans made it out to be, said Kathleen Hall Jamieson, from University of Pennsylvania said.   “Humans are not a herd,” Jamieson said.

LA Times report

 

13th March 2020:

 

15th March 2020:

 

The chief proponents of herd immunity, the UK and the US, have, by their own admission, recorded nearly 900,000 deaths from Covid in just two years between them. The use of the word genocide in one tweet was entirely justified.

 

 

 

Image by S. Hermann & F. Richter from Pixabay

Germany: 44% vaccine breakthrough in over-60’s ICU patients

The intensive care doctor Uwe Janssens told the RND that the number of Covid patients with vaccination breakthroughs in intensive care units would continue to increase. “Currently, almost 44 percent of patients over 60 with Covid-19 in intensive care units have a breakthrough vaccination. That has increased significantly and by leaps and bounds, ”Janssens told the RND.

FAZ.net report (in German)

 

Germany: Covid cases jump 26% in one day, top 50,000 for the first time

 

 

Photo by Piron Guillaume on Unsplash

UK: nearly 400,000 kids infected with Covid in one month

The latest UKHSA vaccine report has just been published. It shows that nearly 400,000 under 18’s were infected with Covid in just one month in the UK’s mad mass infection experiment.

It also shows that the vast majority of the over-18’s in the UK that are newly infected, hospitalized and or have died of Covid are fully vaccinated.

 

This chart shows new UK Covid infections

Nearly 400,000 under 18’s have been infected with Covid in one month! The vast majority of infections in the over 18’s are fully vaccinated.

 

This chart shows those hospitalized in the UK with Covid-19:

The vast majority of the over 40’s hospitalized with Covid are fully vaccinated.

 

This chart shows those that have died of Covid-19 in the UK:

The vast majority of those that died of Covid were fully vaccinated.

 

UKHSA Covid-19 vaccine surveillance report Week 44

 

 

 

Image by Artist and zabiyaka from Pixabay

Prediction: European Covid winter wave of 2021 will be the worst wave of the pandemic so far

This isn’t the most difficult prediction we have ever had to make, but there is no doubt that, despite huge vaccination campaigns across the continent, the winter wave now breaking over Europe will be their worst wave of the pandemic so far.

The difference this year is that, despite raging infections in many European countries, despite vaccine waning, vaccine breakthroughs and reinfections, no government is yet considering measures that are strong enough to contain the tide.

Measures including lockdowns and working from home were imposed in many countries across Europe and North America in early November 2020 to prevent the winter wave worsening. Despite their huge unpopularity, the measures, particularly lockdowns, DID work.

The chart below shows our estimation of what the winter wave would have looked like in 2020 without lockdowns. The global winter wave of 2020 was broken in half by lockdowns in key European countries and in North America which made up the bulk of cases.

Our estimation of the size of the Covid global winter wave in 2020. The winter wave was smashed by lockdowns in Europe and North America:

In 2021, however, many countries in Europe have abandoned the use face masks, social distancing and working from home. Lockdowns have been also been ruled out by many governments, fearful of their unpopularity.

 

The chart below shows what the European Covid winter wave looks like on the 4th November 2021. The wave that is forming is virtually identical to the wave of 2020. The difference in 2021 is that there are no mitigations in reserve to prevent previous wave records being broken.  Without urgent mitigations, this wave could be bigger than the one that engulfed India in the spring of 2021

Europe needs to take its head out of the sand, and do it quickly. There are very few tools left in the toolbox to deal with large waves, and every one of them will be needed this year.

We are still waiting for more data to come in to be able to make a prediction on the size of the global winter wave, but it’s not impossible that Europe alone could carry almost the entire burden of the winter wave this year.

Just to be crystal clear then:

  • Vaccines won’t be enough to stop the wave
  • Antivirals won’t be enough to stop the wave
  • Vaccine passports won’t be enough to stop the wave
  • Face masks won’t be enough to stop the wave
  • Locking up the unvaccinated won’t be enough to stop the wave

 

Europe suddenly ablaze with Covid – it could be the biggest wave yet

 

Decoding Sars-Cov-2: How are global Covid waves formed, and can we predict future waves?

 

Image by Brigitte makes custom works from your photos, thanks a lot from Pixabay

UK approves oral Covid drug Molnupiravir for use

UK Health and Social Care Secretary Sajid Javid said “Today is a historic day for our country, as the UK is now the first country in the world to approve an antiviral that can be taken at home for COVID-19. This will be a game changer for the most vulnerable and the immunosuppressed, who will soon be able to receive the ground-breaking treatment.”

UK.gov article

 

The dangers of new oral Covid drug Molnupiravir

 

Image by Emilian Danaila from Pixabay

 

USA: family unaware of Covid victim dissected at autopsy event in hotel

A man who died of COVID-19 was dissected in front of a paying audience in a Portland, Oregon hotel, and his widow had no idea.

The family of David Saunders, 98, learned of the autopsy from a KING 5 investigation that exposed the Oct. 17 cadaver class in Portland, Oregon. A similar event in Seattle was cancelled.

Event organizers sold tickets for up to $500 to the public to view in-person the autopsy and dissection of a human body. The event is part of the Oddities and Curiosities Expo, which travels across the country.

King 5 report

 

1918 pandemic caused Long Covid like symptoms in survivors

“The influenza pandemic of 1918 was followed by another epidemic. The disease was encephalitis lethargica, or the sleepy sickness, and like influenza it spread through most of the world. Its symptoms were extraordinarily varied — most commonly there was lethargy, but sometimes there was insomnia, and even frenzy; sometimes there were paralyses, sometimes mental disorders.”

Of the million or so people who came down with encephalitis lethargica during this period, half a million died in the acute stages of the illness; most of the survivors, people who appeared to have recovered, went on to develop, sometimes decades later, a variety of neurological problems, including a crippling form of parkinsonism.”

Oliver Sacks, New York Times, November 2005

 

 

Awakenings is a 1990 American drama film based on Oliver Sacks’s 1973 memoir of the same name. It tells the story of a fictional character, neurologist Dr. Malcolm Sayer, who is based on Sacks and played by Robin Williams. In 1969, he discovered beneficial effects of the drug L-Dopa. He administers it to catatonic patients who survived the 1917–1928 epidemic of encephalitis lethargica.

Wikipedia entry on the Film “Awakenings”

 

 

Will the UK’s mass Covid infection experiment pay off?

Will the UK’s mass Covid infection experiment pay off?

On the 19th July 2021, Britain’s mass Covid infection experiment began. It was dubbed “Freedom Day”, and almost all Covid restrictions were lifted. Despite the record number of Covid infections that resulted from the introduction of the policy, mitigations weren’t reintroduced.

The back-of-a-fag-packet reasoning behind the Freedom Day plan was that an artificially created summer Covid wave would pre-empt an even larger winter Covid wave, thus preventing its health service from being overwhelmed.

In pursuance of the plan, all primary and secondary schools were ordered to reopen for the summer term. Britain’s children were forced to attend schools where all mitigations had been deliberately removed, thus ensuring the maximum spread of the virus throughout the greater population.

We said of the plan, at the time it was introduced, that the UK would simply risk creating two Covid waves instead of one.

So how is the mass infection experiment going?

Figures from the UK Covid app ZOE and Britain’s Office of National Statistics are absolutely damning – Freedom Day has gone horribly wrong.

 

 

Millions of British adults and children were infected by Covid over the course of the summer, and thousands died.

It’s been a four month long Covid wave that has been unprecedented in its scale. Incredibly, the number of infections produced by the artificial wave surpassed even the heights of the previous deadly winter wave.

Although daily Covid deaths were reduced compared to the first winter wave, the sheer length of the summer wave has meant that far more people were infected than during the previous winter wave. The infection rate is still increasing, and the health service has been overwhelmed in many areas,

So, was the mass infection experiment a success? If the artificial wave leads to a reduced case load for the health service in the winter, will it have been worth it?

NO and NO.

The British government may have brought forward thousands of infections and deaths that would have otherwise happened in the winter. The UK may even see a drop in cases and deaths over the next few months because of that. But what they have failed to take into account is the long-term damage inflicted on those that have been infected by Covid, and also on those who will be reinfected by it in the future.

To put it simply, in terms that even Boris Johnson and Patrick Vallance might understand:

Covid-19 is a global squid game. There are only two rules to the game:

1) Don’t die of the virus
2) Don’t become infected with the virus

Breaking either of these two rules will lead to a player being eliminated.

It’s a lesson that the British have failed to understand from the very beginning of the pandemic.

Sars-Cov-2 is a BSL4 pathogen. It is not something you should be encouraging to waft through schools, offices, supermarkets and trains. After two years of the pandemic, this really shouldn’t need to be explained repeatedly.

The British government have gambled with the lives of their entire population. It was a gamble they didn’t need to take, and it’s a gamble they will most certainly lose as long-term sickness rates soar.

Let’s hope the victims of this reckless plan manage to see justice one day.

 

Sars-CoV-2 – checkmate to the virus in four moves

Wales: The vaccine breakthrough rate for people over 60 is 96%

The vaccine breakthrough rate for the over 60’s is 96% for the two-week period up to 17th October 2021 in Wales.

More bad news for Public Health Wales whose latest data file shows that vaccine breakthrough rates continue to increase, and that for the over 60’s, the breakthrough rate is an astonishing 96%.

 

The full Public Health Wales document entitled “Surveillance of vaccine status in confirmed COVID-19 episodes and hospital inpatients” can be downloaded here

 

 

Image by Roman Grac from Pixabay

 

Texas embalmer: “COVID is unlike anything I’ve seen before”

“I was having people that had only been dead for a few hours and there were major clotting issues. The clots were the size of pancakes ― you never, never see those with someone who didn’t die of COVID.”

“These folks were so swollen they were completely unrecognizable.  We get bodies out of ICU regularly, but not in the condition that these COVID bodies are in. They’re tremendously swollen. If they’ve been on a ventilator, that often completely runs down their immune system. It also opens them up to a lot of sepsis and secondary infections that tend to hang around hospitals, like penicillin-resistant staph infections.”

“I’ve been doing this for 30 years and pretty much everywhere I’ve worked has been medium to high volume. I’m not one of those embalmers that works at a place that just does 50 or 60 bodies a year. So I’ve done this long enough and I’ve seen enough that I would know when something different pops up. COVID is unlike anything I’ve seen before.”

Huffpost.com report

 

 

Image by Gisela Merkuur from Pixabay

UK: start to pandemic “worst public health failure ever” – a failure that is still ongoing

The UK government approach – backed by its scientists – was to try to manage the situation and in effect achieve herd immunity by infection, it said. This led to a delay in introducing the first lockdown, costing lives.

BBC report

Full Parliamentary report here

 

Coronaheadsup Twitter feed, 15th March 2020 – the UK promotes herd immunity and our prediction of the outcome of the policy

Coronaheadsup Twitter feed, 15th March 2020 – the UK promotes herd immunity and ignores warnings from Italian doctors about the severity of the coronavirus

 

Coronaheadsup Twitter feed, March 13th 2020 – warning of a catastrophe in UK schools if they are left open. This is another lesson still not learned. Millions of British schoolchildren have been infected by Covid-19 in UK schools in 2021, with no mitigations allowed.
In an ongoing attempt to impose herd immunity, defenceless British kids are being told to fight a BSL4 pathogen in classrooms with no protection, mitigations, bubbles or vaccines. It’s homicidal insanity, and by far the biggest scandal of this pandemic.

What we don’t want or need is another government apology or a public inquiry in a year’s time after millions more lives have been wrecked by this virus. We need preventative action, and we need it NOW.

 

Sars-CoV-2 – checkmate to the virus in four moves