UK: Despite a 65% vaccination rate, the Covid situation is far worse than September 2020

The UK announced its plan to deal with Covid this coming winter in a marathon one hour press conference in Downing Street this afternoon. The main image pretty much sums it up. Despite 65% of the UK population having been vaccinated, the current Covid situation is far worse than at the same point last year.


At 24:25 in the conference:


Oh, and the vaccines have been so successful you will need to have a third dose to top up that incredible success. 


65% of the population have been vaccinated in the UK:


Whilst the Downing Street press conference was being held, today’s UK Covid figures were released. Another 185 people have died and more than 1,000 have gone into hospital since yesterday.


If you have an hour to spare, here’s that Downing Street press conference in full



UK SAGE: Between 2,000 and 7,000 people a day could be hospitalised with Covid in England next month (The Guardian)

SAGE DOCUMENT: SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 8 September 2021


The UK announces its winter Covid plans


Public Health England releases detailed vaccine breakthrough information

Public Health England have finally released some detailed vaccine breakthrough data for England this week. The data covers the period 9th August to 5th September 2021, some 8 months after the vaccination campaigns first began.

Rather than putting our own interpretation on the figures, we’ll simply republish the charts and let you decide whether they reflect your understanding of what was on offer when the vaccines were first approved and rolled out.


Firstly, cases by vaccination status:


Secondly, hospitalizations by vaccination status:


And lastly, deaths by vaccination status:


The full Public Health England report is here: “COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report Week 36


28th May 2021: UK Health Secretary says vaccines are “severing the link between cases and hospitalizations and deaths from coronavirus“.

Scotland: 70% of Covid deaths and 58% of hospitalizations are fully vaccinated



Oregon: 13,166 vaccine breakthrough cases, 650 hospitalized, 113 deaths

There have been 13,166 vaccine breakthrough cases identified in Oregon. The median age of breakthrough cases is 48 years. 512 breakthrough cases were residents of care facilities, senior living communities, or other congregate living settings. 3,350 of cases were 65 or older. There have been a total of 217 cases aged 12-17. Breakthrough cases have been reported in all 36 counties.

To date, 4.9% of all known breakthrough cases have been hospitalized (n=650), and only 0.9% have died (n=113). The median age of the people who died was 81.

Oregon vaccine breakthrough report

Oregon State Covid-19 home page



California: 112,000 vaccine breakthrough cases, 3,000 hospitalized, 306 deaths





Image by Jacob Johnson from Pixabay

84% reduction in humoral immunity among healthcare workers and nursing home residents after 6 months

We report on humoral immunity from 2 weeks to 6-months post-vaccination in 120 nursing home residents and 92 ambulatory healthcare worker controls with and without pre-vaccination SARS-CoV-2 infection. Anti-spike, anti-RBD and neutralization levels dropped more than 84% over 6 months’ time in all groups irrespective of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. At 6 months post-vaccine, 70% of the infection-naive NH residents had neutralization titers at or below the lower limit of detection compared to 16% at 2 weeks after full vaccination.

Anti-spike and anti-receptor binding domain (RBD) IgG, and serum neutralization titers, were assessed using a bead-based ELISA method and pseudovirus neutralization assay.


Medrxiv Preprint: Significant reduction in humoral immunity among healthcare workers and nursing home residents 6 months after COVID-19 BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination 


Image by Gundula Vogel from Pixabay