Spillover of SARS-CoV-2 across Europe from the war in Ukraine
This is a new post that will be tracking the possible spillover of SARS-CoV-2 from the war zone in Ukraine and into neighbouring countries. With so many people now on the move across Europe, including troops and refugees from the senseless violence, we expect to see considerable increases in coronavirus levels in Eastern Europe in the near future.
The first chart we have posted below is a snapshot of the virus situation in Europe on the 26th February 2022, to be used for comparison purposes.
The second chart we have posted below is dynamic and shows the current situation. It should update if you refresh your browser.
We have focused the chart on Ukraine and included its neighbouring countries. We have also included what we consider to be some key bellwether countries for SARS-CoV-2 in Europe such as Italy, Belgium, Spain, Netherlands, France and the UK, to see if there are any longer distance impacts of the virus spreading.
This chart is a snapshot of the coronavirus situation in Eastern Europe on 25th February 2022
The chart below should show you the latest virus situation in Eastern Europe today if you refresh your browser.
And finally, this chart, which is also dynamic, should show the changes in virus levels across Eastern Europe over time
Important caveat: This is not a scientific study. Consider it more of an attempt at an early warning radar.
Throughout history, military campaigns have resulted in death as much from infectious disease outbreaks as from violence. Having people rebreathing each other's air in crowded air-raid shelters without masks will mean even more COVID deaths in #Ukraine #COVIDisAirborne https://t.co/Pwfwv6JjN0
— Dr Satoshi Akima FRACP 『秋間聰』 (@ToshiAkima) February 25, 2022
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Image by Vitaly V. Kuzmin