Spillover of SARS-CoV-2 across Europe from the war in Ukraine

Armenia, Belgium, Coronavirus, Estonia, EU, Europe, France, Hungary, Infection, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Superspreader events, Transmission, UK, Ukraine

This is a new post that will be tracking the possible spillover of SARS-CoV-2 from the war zone in Ukraine and into neighbouring countries. With so many people now on the move across Europe, including troops and refugees from the senseless violence, we expect to see considerable increases in coronavirus levels in Eastern Europe in the near future.

The first chart we have posted below is a snapshot of the virus situation in Europe on the 26th February 2022, to be used for comparison purposes.

The second chart we have posted below is dynamic and shows the current situation. It should update if you refresh your browser.

We have focused the chart on Ukraine and included its neighbouring countries. We have also included what we consider to be some key bellwether countries for SARS-CoV-2 in Europe such as Italy, Belgium, Spain, Netherlands, France and the UK, to see if there are any longer distance impacts of the virus spreading.

This chart is a snapshot of the coronavirus situation in Eastern Europe on 25th February 2022


The chart below should show you the latest virus situation in Eastern Europe today if you refresh your browser.


And finally, this chart, which is also dynamic, should show the changes in virus levels across Eastern Europe over time

Important caveat: This is not a scientific study. Consider it more of an attempt at an early warning radar.




Is the global Sars-CoV-2 decline already petering out? *4 UPDATES & 1 PREDICTION*


Image by Vitaly V. Kuzmin





** This post was originally published on February 26, 2022 **